Alan Ager

Retired FS Research Forester
(541) 450-3946

Research Topics

  • Forest landscape modeling and scenario planning
  • Restoration of fire adapted systems
  • Socioecological aspects of wildfire risk governance
  • Transboundary risk assessment

Personal Summary

Alan Ager received his BS and PhD degrees in forest science from the University of Washington and began his Forest Service career in 1987 as a planning analyst on the Umatilla National Forest. His work has spanned a wide range of forest management issues, most recently wildfire risk and scenario planning. Alan and his research group map wildfire risk transmission to communities and combine this information with other land condition assessments to explore cross boundary investment scenarios as part of shared stewardship efforts. In related work Alan’s group is experimenting with forest landscape models to understand synergies between wildfire and forest management to improve landscape resiliency on fire excluded western forests. In prior work he developed several decision support systems that have been widely used in the management and research environment. Alan is adjunct faculty at Northern Arizona University, University of Portland, and Oregon State University where he serves as an advisor to several PhD students, faculty research associates and Forest Service International Scholars. His international work experience includes stints in Kenya, Ukraine, Sardinia, France, Portugal, and Sweden. Alan is currently on detail to the Washington Office Research and Development under the Sustainable Forest Management Research program area.

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Selected Publications & Products

Ager, A. A., A. M. G. Barros, and M. A. Day. 2022. Contrasting effects of future wildfire and forest management scenarios on a fire excluded western US landscape. Landscape Ecology 37:1091–1112

Alcasena, F. J., A. A. Ager, P. Belavenutti, M. Krawchuk, and M. A. Day. 2022. Contrasting the efficiency of landscape versus community protection fuel treatment strategies to reduce wildfire exposure and risk. Journal of Environmental Management: 114650. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.114650

Young, J. D., A. A. Ager, and A. E. Thode. 2022. Using wildfire as a management strategy to restore resiliency to ponderosa pine forests in the southwestern United States. Ecosphere 13: e4040. doi: 10.1002/ecs2.4040

Ager, A. A., C. R. Evers, M. A. Day, F. J. Alcasena, and R. Houtman. 2021. Planning for future fire: scenario analysis of an accelerated fuel reduction plan for the western United States. Landscape and Urban Planning 215. doi: 10.1016/j.landurbplan.2021.104212

Ager, A. A., M. A. Day, C. Ringo, C. R. Evers, F. J. Alcasena, R. Houtman, M. Scanlon, and T. Ellersick. 2021. Development and application of the Fireshed Registry. Gen. Tech. Rep. RMRS-GTR-425, USDA Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station, Fort Collins, CO.

Ager, A. A., M. A. Day, F. J. Alcasena, C. R. Evers, K. C. Short, and I. Grenfell. 2021. Predicting Paradise: Modeling future wildfire disasters in the western US. Science of The Total Environment 784:147057.